NCPA - National Center for Policy Analysis

Diabetes Increasing

October 25, 2001

Increasing obesity and age will fuel an increase in the number of Americans with diabetes over the next 50 years, according to a study in the November issue of Diabetes Care.

The study by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention projects a large increase in diabetes:

  • The number of diagnosed cases will increase 165 percent over the next 50 years -- from 11 million cases in 2000 to 29 million in 2050.
  • The highest increase in prevalence will occur among those age 75 and older.
  • Among ethnic groups, the biggest jump is expected among black men, with a 363 percent increase, followed by black women, with an increase of 217 percent.

Source: Michelle Healy, "Enormous Rise Predicted in Diabetes Cases," A Better Life, USA Today, October 25, 2001; J.P. Boyle et al., "Projection of Diabetes Burden Through 2050: Impact of changing demography and disease prevalence in the U.S.," Diabetes Care, November 2001.

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