NCPA - National Center for Policy Analysis


January 21, 2010

The scientists who said that Himalayan glaciers will be gone by 2035 have admitted the claim has as much credibility as sightings of the mythical Yeti.  It's their fraudulent claims that are melting away, says Investor's Business Daily (IBD). 

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the U.N. body tasked with scaring us to death about global warming, has admitted that the claim in its 2007 report about the Himalayan glaciers disappearing was not based on any scientific study or research.  It was instead based on one scientist's speculation in a telephone interview with a reporter.

  • The IPCC claimed: "Glaciers in the Himalayas are receding faster than in any other part of the world and, if the present rate continues, the likelihood of their disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the earth keeps warming at the current rate."
  • As it turns out, the earth hasn't been warming at all, at least not in the last decade, and reputable scientists have said it may continue to cool for decades to come.
  • Even if it was warming, glaciologists insist, the sheer mass of Himalayan glaciers made such a prediction laughable.

According to Professor Julian Dowdeswell, director of the Scott Polar Research Institute at Cambridge University:

  • Even a small glacier, such as the Dokriani glacier, is up to 120 meters (394 feet) thick; a big one would be several hundred meters thick and tens of kilometers long.
  • The average glacier is 300 meters thick, so to melt one even at the rate of five meters a year would take half a century.
  • That is a lot faster than anything we are seeing now, so the idea of losing it all by 2035 is unrealistically high; the current maximum observed rate of glacier melt worldwide is two to three meters a year.

Like the infamous "hockey stick" graph purporting to show sudden and man-induced warming, and the Climate-gate e-mails showing the efforts by researchers associated with Britain's Climate Research unit to "hide the decline" in global temperatures, the Himalayan glacier claim, like the IPCC report itself, is science fiction and not science fact, says IBD.

Source: Editorial, "The IPCC's Abominable Snowmen," Investor's Business Daily, January 21, 2010. 

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