NCPA - National Center for Policy Analysis


May 6, 2008

Immigrant arrivals have been down since will before the current eruption of nativist sentiment, says the Immigration Policy Center.


  • The annual flow of immigrants to the United States was at its height in 2000.
  • The Census Bureau and Social Security and administration predict it will continue to decline until at least 2015.

According to the author of the study, University of Southern California Demographer Dowell Meyers:

  • Proponents of the negative story of the immigrant future have ignored this recent leveling and decline says Dowell Meyers, author of the study.
  • Instead, they have averaged data from the last 12 to 14 years and concluded that immigration is continuing at record levels.

The flow to gateway states like California is way down.  Immigrants are instead heading straight to places such as Missouri and the Carolinas, where they're finding jobs and forming small communities, notes Meyers.

Source: Kerry Howley, "Arrivals Down, Panic Up," Reason, May 2008; based upon: Dowell Myers, "Thinking Ahead About Our Immigrant Future: New Trends and Mutual Benefits in Our Aging Society," Immigration Policy Center, January 2008.


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