NCPA - National Center for Policy Analysis

STUDY PREDICTS RISE IN INMATE POPULATIONS

February 14, 2007

The number of inmates in U.S. prisons likely will rise nearly 13 percent during the next five years, costing states up to $27.5 billion in new operating and construction expenses, according to a new analysis by the Pew Charitable Trusts.

According to the report:

  • The nation's prison population will be about 1.72 million by 2011, up from an estimated 1.53 million at the end of last year; such an increase would roughly equal the current population of the federal prison system.
  • The projected prison costs over the next five years are a "staggering" $27.5 billion -- nearly half the amount now spent on American prisons each year.
  • The number of female inmates will rise at a faster rate (16 percent) than males (12 percent).

Among the other findings:

  • By 2011, Florida's prison system is expected to become the third state system to surpass 100,000 inmates, joining California and Texas; California's projected inmate population for 2011 is 188,772; Texas' is 166,327.
  • In Louisiana, which has the nation's highest rate of incarceration with 835 prisoners per 100,000 residents, the incarceration rate is projected to reach 859 by 2011.
  • Nearly two-thirds of the more than 600,000 people admitted to prison each year have failed to satisfy terms of probation or parole.

Source: Kevin Johnson, "Study predicts rise in inmate populations," USA Today, February 13, 2007.

For text:

http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2007-02-13-prisons_x.htm 

 

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