NCPA - National Center for Policy Analysis

Daily Policy Digest

Economic Issues

Don't Gut the Texas Workers' Comp System

For decades, researchers have found a myriad of disincentive effects associated with state workers' comp insurance systems that keep workers off the job for too long and on an eventual path to dependency on the Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) system, writes NCPA Senior Fellow Pamela Villarreal...

Trump's First 30 Days: Implementing the Regulatory Reform Agenda

In President Donald Trump's "Contract with the American Voter" ("the Contract") -- the president's plan of what he promised to do to in his first 100 days in office -- a key component is a pledge to reduce the regulatory burden on businesses, their employees, and consumers, and there appears to be solid public support for this policy change, writes NCPA Senior Fellow Thomas Hemphill...

Employers Beware, NLRB Shows Grit in Protecting Walkouts and Informal Strikes by Non-union Workers

Employers are finding themselves on thin ice in their response to employees' walkouts, informal strikes and other activities that include demands for higher wages and improved working conditions. However, employees who participate in "general strikes" unrelated to work, such as the "general strike against Trump" planned for February 17, may not be protected by federal labor law, writes NCPA Research Associate Coulter Young...

Even With Trump's Support, U.S. Labor Is Singing the Blues

The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its annual report on union membership last week, and the numbers are not favorable for the U.S. labor movement. The BLS calculated (from data collected as part of the Current Population Survey) that union membership in 2016 was 10.7 percent, down 0.4 percent from 2015. This percentage loss translates to a decline of 240,000 union members since 2015. In 1983, the first year for which comparable union data is available to the BLS, the union membership rate was 20.1 percent; the 10.7 percent rate represents a 46.8 percent decline in American union membership over the ensuing 34 years. Moreover, as of 2016 there are 14.6 million union members, as compared to 17.7 million union members in 1983, writes NCPA Senior Fellow Thomas Hemphill...

How the Economy Affects Major Asset Classes

Asset performance patterns are not always easy to explain, even over longer time frames. For instance, stock and bond prices are positively correlated, but they are also negatively correlated at various times. Asset prices also move differently in periods of uncertainty than in quieter times, according to David Ranson, president and director of research at HCWE & Co. and NCPA senior fellow.

Manufacturing's Greatest Days Lie Ahead

In Donald J. Trump's "Contract with the American Voter," the president-elect outlines what he intends to do to in his first 100 days in office to "Make America Great Again." A key component of the contract is the seven actions that he will initiate during his first days as president "to protect the American worker." Two of these actions will importantly have long-term consequences for the economic success of American manufacturers: First up, President Trump plans on lifting restrictions on the production of domestic energy resources, including shale oil, natural gas and clean coal. Second, he has pledged to lift regulatory roadblocks established by the Obama administration to allow important energy infrastructure projects, such as the Keystone Pipeline, to progress to completion, writes Mark Perry and NCPA Senior Fellow Thomas Hemphill...

Proposed Payday Lending Rule Will Hurt Lower-Income Consumers

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is a federal agency created by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act to protect consumers from "unfair, deceptive, or abusive practices" by financial institutions. On June 2, 2016, the CFPB proposed federal regulations for the short-term loan industry. These nonbank financial services have been utilized by an estimated 5.5 percent of the population in the past 5 years, or 12 million Americans annually, to help cover unexpected expenses. The payday loan industry, valued at $46 billion, employs over 50,000 Americans, writes NCPA Research Associate Kathryn Reed...

Not So Fast on the Overtime Rule, Says Judge

Last week, a U.S. District judge issued a preliminary injunction against the Department of Labor's new overtime pay rule, scheduled to take effect on Thursday, writes NCPA Senior Fellow Pam Villarreal.

Three Reasons Donald Trump Won

Donald Trump's stunning victory last night left media and political pundits shocked and in some cases, horrified. But for anybody who has not benefited from the post-2008 economic recovery (and there are still many), this upset came as no surprise. Here are three factors I believe that the media and pundits underestimated, writes NCPA Senior Fellow Pam Villarreal...

Artificial Intelligence Is Here: Now What?

The long-term societal benefits of commercialization of AI in education, energy conservation, environmental protection, and health care are indeed worth the commitment to fairness, inclusiveness, and transparency the Partnership on AI publicly supports as part of its efforts to help facilitate AI's acceptance in the United States, writes NCPA Senior Fellow Thomas Hemphill...


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