Statement on the Social Security Earnings Test

February 15, 2000

by Bruce Bartlett

Statement on the Social Security Earnings Test

Before the House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Social Security U.S. House of Representatives

Mr. Chairman, the Social Security earnings test is among the most unfair and counterproductive policies ever imposed by the Federal Government. On the one hand, we are continually told that workers have a "right" to Social Security whenever there is a proposal to modify cost of living adjustments. But on the other hand, we take away benefits from many seniors simply because they have chosen to work past the normal retirement age. And historically it has been those most vocal about Social Security rights who have resisted most strenuously any elimination of the earnings test.1

THIS IS A MASSIVE INJUSTICE.

If people have in fact earned their Social Security benefits, then they are entitled to them. No one takes away someone's private pension or annuity if that person continues to work after they have become entitled to benefits. This disparate treatment makes a mockery of the notion that Social Security is an earned benefit that people are entitled to by virtue of long years of work. It makes Social Security equivalent to a welfare program where benefits are rightly withdrawn from people who no longer need them.

A further element of unfairness results from the fact that the earnings test applies only to wage income. One can receive millions of dollars per year in interest, dividends and capital gains without losing a penny of Social Security benefits. But someone who has invested in human capital rather than financial capital is punished when he or she seeks a return on that investment by continuing to work.

The earnings test was originally imposed for a reason that now makes no economic sense. Its purpose was to get workers out of the labor force during the Great Depression in order to open up jobs for younger workers.2 Today, however, one of the biggest problems facing the country is not a lack of jobs, but a lack of workers. The earnings test is not only depriving American businesses of labor they desperately need, but is keeping out of the labor force some of our best educated and most experienced workers.3 As a nation we cannot afford to keep doing this.

Keeping older workers out of the labor force is also harmful to them. When they are forced into idleness by retirement, it often impacts negatively on their health and self-esteem.4 And the notion that older workers are not healthy enough to continue working is simply no longer valid. Rising life expectancy and improved medicine mean that today's average 65 year old is probably in better physical shape than a 40 year old worker was before World War II.5 Of course, no retiree should be forced to work if they prefer leisure, but actively penalizing those who want to work and are able to work is harmful both to them and the economy.

According to the Social Security Administration, 3.5 million people between the ages of 62 and 69 have some earned income, about 37 percent of all retirees under the age of 70.6 In 1995, 743,000 workers aged 65 to 70 had their Social Security benefits reduced because their earnings exceeded the allowed amount, 8.5 percent of all retired worker beneficiaries. Twenty-nine percent of those losing benefits received no Social Security benefits at all that year. The total amount of benefits lost was $4.3 billion and the median benefits lost per recipient was $3,596.7

It should be noted that the earnings test also creates a kind of marriage penalty, because earnings by the primary Social Security recipient above the threshold can also reduce the benefits of auxiliary recipients. In 1995, secondary recipients losing benefits were primarily female. Only 2,000 males receiving secondary benefits lost benefits, while 62,000 females did.

Inclusion of secondary beneficiaries raises the number of those losing benefits in 1995 to 806,000. And because 154,000 other family members--nonworking spouses and children--are also affected by the reduction in benefits, the total number of people harmed by the earnings test rises to 960,000. But even this number understates the impact of the earnings test, because about 152,000 additional workers did not apply for benefits because their earnings were above the threshold.8

The withholding of benefits acts like an additional tax on earnings. In the case of retirees between the ages of 65 and 69 it is a 33 percent tax rate, and for those between the ages of 62 and 64 it is a 50 percent tax rate.9 And these implicit tax rates come on top of explicit taxes such as federal and state income taxes, including taxes on Social Security benefits for those whose incomes are high enough. Of course, older workers also continue to pay Social Security taxes as well.10

These high effective tax rates have a major impact on the employment status of older workers. They are a major reason why in 1999 only 16.9 percent of men over age 65 were in the labor force, either by working or seeking work.11 Fifty years ago, 47 percent of such men were still in the labor force. At the turn of the century the figure was better than 60 percent.12 This sharp decline is all the more remarkable given the significant rise in life expectancy over this period.13

It is my view that the earnings test should be scrapped in its entirety. Either people have earned their benefits or they haven't, and singling out those who continue to work after retirement age is a violation of that principle. The only possible justification for keeping the earnings test is budgetary.14 Obviously, elimination of the test would lead to the payment of benefits that are now not paid, increasing federal outlays for Social Security. However, I believe this cost is often grossly overestimated because estimates do not take into account the impact of the delayed retirement credit (DRC).

The DRC raises benefits for retirees when they put off drawing Social Security benefits, even though they are eligible for them. Workers turning 65 this year will receive a 6 percent increase in their Social Security benefits for each year they delay drawing benefits. Thus, if their work history entitled them to $1,000 per month in benefits at age 65, but they did not begin drawing benefits until age 66, they would get $1,060 per month.15

The idea of the credit is to encourage workers to stay in the labor force and not retire the minute they become eligible for benefits. But many workers are under the mistaken belief that any benefits they fail to draw simply are lost. Hence, many workers are retiring too soon for their own good. A recent study from the National Bureau of Economic Research says that most workers would be better off by delaying their first Social Security benefit check by up to 3 years.16

IN FUTURE YEARS, THE GAIN WILL INCREASE.

That is because the delayed retirement credit will rise to 8 percent in the year 2008 (for workers born in 1943).17 This means that someone waiting until age 70 before drawing benefits would get 40 percent more than if they started at age 65. (After age 70 there is no further increase in benefits and also no earnings test.18) At that point, the Social Security actuaries estimate that the lifetime benefits people receive from Social Security will be about the same in the aggregate regardless of whether they retire at age 65 or age 70.

The DRC is extremely important in calculating the long term budgetary impact of eliminating the earnings test. That is because those people who now lose benefits because of the earnings test are receiving higher future benefits. They also receive higher benefits because earnings past age 65 can cause their benefits to be recomputed. That is because Social Security uses a 35-year earnings history to calculate benefits. If post-65 annual earnings are greater than the lowest of these years, they can lead to higher benefits.

Because the DRC is supposed to cause lifetime benefits to be the same regardless of when people begin to draw benefits, the long term cost of eliminating the earnings test should in theory be zero. Higher benefits paid out in the short-run to people who would otherwise lose benefits because of the earnings test will be offset by lower future benefits because they will no longer claim the DRC. This fact is admitted even by those who oppose elimination of the earnings test.19

Another problem is that estimates of the net cost of eliminating the earnings test sometimes look only at increased payroll taxes that will result from expanded labor supply, as those now forced out of the labor market by the test remain in it or reenter.20 These estimates tend to overlook higher income tax revenues and reduced outlays for Medicare due to older workers having employer-provided health benefits. One study that did take all of the relevant factors into account found that after about 8 years, the net increase in federal outlays is just $1 billion per year.

In conclusion, I believe that all arguments against abolishing the earnings limit are spurious. In fact, my suspicion is that the true barrier to doing so is simply class envy. Those who would benefit most in the short run from abolition of the earnings test are relatively high income earners. But in the longer run, especially given the rise in life expectancy, I would expect to see many more moderate income workers stay in the labor force if the earnings test were repealed.21

Mr. Chairman, this is not a partisan issue. President Clinton proposed eliminating the earnings test in his State of the Union Address in 1999, and has reiterated his desire to do so again this year.22 I urge the Committee to support him.

DISCLOSURE.

Neither Mr. Bartlett nor the National Center for Policy Analysis have received any federal government grants or contracts in the current or prior two fiscal years.

NOTES:

  1. For example, the Washington Post routinely decries any modification of the earnings test while strenuously defending a worker's right to benefits. See its editorials on March 15, 1996; December 3, 1995; January 17, 1995; January 17, 1991; December 2, 1989; and April 19, 1989.
  2. Marshall R. Colberg, The Social Security Retirement Test: Right or Wrong? (Washington: American Enterprise Institute, 1978), p. 2; C. Eugene Steuerle and Jon M. Bakija, Retooling Social Security for the 21st Century (Washington: Urban Institute Press, 1994), p. 226.
  3. See "Brain Drain," Business Week (September 20, 1999), pp. 112-126.
  4. See Committee for Economic Development, New Opportunities for Older Workers (1999), available at www.ced.org/pdf/OLDER.PDF.
  5. Eugene Steuerle, Christopher Spiro, and Richard W. Johnson, "Can Americans Work Longer?" Straight Talk on Social Security and Retirement Policy No. 5 (Washington: Urban Institute, 15 August 1999), available at www.urban.org/retirement/st/Straight5.pdf. A recent government report also suggests that estimates of rising life expectancy in the future may be understated. See Social Security Advisory Board, The 1999 Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods, available at www.ssab.gov/reports.html.
  6. House Ways & Means Committee, 1998 Green Book (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1998), p. 33.
  7. Bertram Kestenbaum, Michael Shakleford, and Chris Champlain, "Effect on Benefits of Earnings at Ages 65 or Older, 1995," Social Security Bulletin, vol. 62, no. 1 (1999), pp. 4-9. For data on earlier years, see Joseph Bondar, "Beneficiaries Affected by the Annual Earnings Test, 1989," Social Security Bulletin, vol. 56, no. 1 (Spring 1993), pp. 20-28.
  8. Kestenbaum, Shakleford and Chaplain, op. cit.
  9. Policymakers often overlook the more punitive earnings test for those taking early retirement. See Eugene Steuerle and Christopher Spiro, "Are Policymakers Overlooking a Second Earnings Test?" Straight Talk on Social Security and Retirement Policy No. 9 (Washington: Urban Institute, 15 October 1999), available at www.urban.org/retirement/st/Straight9.pdf. The authors note that under current law, this more punitive earnings test will apply to more people as the normal retirement age is raised to 67. This will make workers between the ages of 65 and 66 subject to the high de facto tax rates that now apply only to those aged 62 to 64.
  10. One study found that the marginal tax bite, both explicit and implicit, can reach more than 100 percent in some cases. See John Goodman, "Raising the Earnings Limit," National Center for Policy Analysis Brief Analysis No. 149 (January 31, 1995), available at www.ncpa.org/ba/ba149.html. Another study put the top rate at 96 percent just at the federal level. See Nathan Oestreich, Howard Toole, and Oliver Galbraith, "Restoring the Incentive for the Elderly to Work," Tax Notes, vol. 49, no. 4 (October 22, 1990), pp. 469-471. And the incidence of high de facto marginal tax rates is not limited to just a few of the elderly. One study found that 30 percent of the single elderly and 12 percent of married elderly faced marginal tax rates exceeding 60 percent. John R. Gist and Janemarie Mulvey, "Marginal Tax Rates and Older Workers," Tax Notes, vol. 49, no. 6 (November 5, 1990), pp. 679-694.
  11. Bureau of Labor Statistics data available at http://stats.bls.gov.
  12. Bureau of the Census, Historical Statistics of the United States: Colonial Times to 1970 (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1975), part 1, p. 132. See also Roger L. Ransom and Richard Sutch, "The Labor of Older Americans: Retirement of Men On and Off the Job, 1870-1937," Journal of Economic History, vol. 46, no. 1 (March 1986), pp. 1-30.
  13. It is worth noting that when Social Security was first established, age 65 was greater than the male life expectancy at birth. See Historical Statistics, pt. 1, p. 56.
  14. Historically, this has been the greatest political barrier to elimination of the earnings test despite broad bipartisan support for doing so. See Helen Dewar, "Senate Blocks Rise in Social Security Earning Limit," Washington Post (November 3, 1995); Kitty Dumas, "Budget-Buster Hot Potato: The Earnings Test," Congressional Quarterly (January 11, 1992), pp. 52-55; Julie Kosterlitz, "Working for a Price," National Journal (February 6, 1988), pp. 318-321.
  15. Actually, the DRC is calculated on a monthly basis, meaning that those who lose benefits because of the earnings test get some of it back.
  16. Courtney Coile et. al., "Delays in Claiming Social Security Benefits," National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 7318 (August 1999), available at www.nber.org/papers/ w7318.
  17. The DRC was only 3 percent until 1989. Thus any studies based on this lower figure will grossly overestimate the budgetary cost of eliminating the earnings test, compared with a 6 percent or 8 percent rate.
  18. Note that in 2008, when the DRC is fully phased-in, the age at which one may receive full benefits will be 66, and will continue rising to age 67 thereafter. This suggests a need to change the age at which the DRC is capped from 70 to age 72, or else future workers will not get as much value from the DRC as current workers do.
  19. Jonathan Gruber and Peter Orszag, "What To Do About the Social Security Earnings Test?" Issue in Brief No. 1 (Boston: Center for Retirement Research, Boston College, July 1999), available at www.bc.edu/bc_org/aup/csom/executive/crr/issuebriefs/ issuebrief1.pdf.
  20. Recent estimates of how much the labor supply would rise from elimination of the earnings test suggest that the magnitude could be fairly large. See Leora Friedberg, "The Labor Supply Effects of the Social Security Earnings Test," National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 7200 (June 1999); idem, "The Social Security Earnings Test and Labor Supply of Older Men," in James M. Poterba, ed., Tax Policy and the Economy, vol. 12 (Cambridge: MIT Press, 1998), pp. 121-150. Earlier studies generally found much lower labor responses. See Marjorie Honig and Cordelia Reimers, "Is It Worth Eliminating the Retirement Test?" American Economic Review, vol. 79, no. 2 (May 1989), pp. 103-107; Michael V. Leonesio, "The Effects of the Social Security Earnings Test on the Labor-Market Activity of Older Americans: A Review of the Evidence," Social Security Bulletin, vol. 53, no. 5 (May 1990), pp. 2-21; Michael D. Packard, "The Earnings Test and the Short-Run Work Response to Its Elimination," Social Security Bulletin, vol. 53, no. 9 (September 1990), pp. 3-16. Two early studies that did find a high labor response to reduction of the earnings penalty are Michael J. Boskin, "Social Security and Retirement Decisions," Economic Inquiry, vol. 15, no. 1 (January 1977), pp. 1-25; and Anthony J. Pellechio, "The Social Security Earnings Test, Labor Supply Distortions, and Foregone Payroll Tax Revenue," National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 272 (August 1978).
  21. Press reports indicate that many Baby Boomers don't wish to ever retire. See "So Who Wants to Retire?" Business Week (November 8, 1999), p. 8; Gene Epstein, "A Big New Wrinkle," Barron's (September 6, 1999), pp. 27-29; John Authers, "Boomers Want to Work For Ever," Financial Times (October 30, 1998).
  22. The President said, "we should eliminate the limits on what seniors on Social Security can earn." Congressional Record (January 19, 1999), p. H259. His latest comment came in an interview with reporters on February 1, 2000. He said, "I think that something that costs money in the short run, but makes you money in the long run is lifting the earnings limits. And we plainly ought to do that." Accessed at www.nytimes.com/yr/mo/ day/news/financial/clinton-text.html on February 2, 2000.