Global Warming: Experts’ Opinions versus Scientific Forecasts

Policy Reports | Global Warming

No. 308
Friday, February 01, 2008
by Kesten C. Green and J. Scott Armstrong

About the Authors

Kesten C. Green is a senior research fellow of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit of Monash University.  He is codirector of and is a pioneer of methods to predict the decisions people will make in conflict situations such as occur in wars and in business.  Dr. Kesten has published in Energy and Environment, Interfaces, Foresight, International Journal of Business and the International Journal of Forecasting.  He received a doctor of philosophy degree from Victoria University of Wellington.

J. Scott Armstrong is a professor at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.  Dr. Armstrong was a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, the International Journal of Forecasting and the International Symposium on Forecasting.  He is the creator of the Web site forecastingprinciples.-com and editor of Principles of Forecasting (Boston, Mass.: Kluwer, 2001), an evidence-based summary of knowledge on forecasting.  In 1996, Armstrong was selected as one of the first six “Honorary Fellows” by the International Institute of Forecasters.  He received a doctor of philosophy degree from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1968.

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