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DALLAS (January 21, 2008) – As Congress debates whether to renew tax cuts
enacted early in the George W. Bush presidency, as well as various economic
stimulus plans, critics often label the measures as "tax cuts for the rich."
Yet a new report from the National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA) says the
Bush tax cuts made the tax code more progressive, no matter how progressivity
is measured. In fact, the report concludes that every major tax change (Republican
or Democrat) over the past two decades has increased the share of taxes paid
by the wealthiest Americans.
"It is politically popular to say that tax cuts benefit the wealthy,"
said Michael D. Stroup, a Stephen F. Austin University economist who authored
the NCPA report. "The accusation does not match the reality."
The progressivity of the tax system can be measured in four ways: (1) the
share of taxes paid by different income groups, (2) the share of income paid
in taxes, (3) the change in taxes relative to the change in income over time,
and (4) a comparison of inequality of income to the inequality of taxes over
time.
Looking at the first three measures, the report found that:
- The top 1 percent of income earners pay more than one in every three dollars
the IRS collects in taxes. From 1986 to 2004, the total share of the income
tax burden paid by the top 1 percent of earners grew from 25.8 percent to
36.9 percent, while the total share of the tax burden paid by the bottom
half of earners fell from 6.5 percent to only 3.3 percent.
- During the same period, the percentage of income the top 1 percent of tax
filers paid in federal income taxes rose from 18.3 percent to 19.6 percent.
By contrast, the percentage of income the bottom fifth of tax filers paid
in federal income taxes dropped from 0.4 percent to zero.
- The income share of the top 1 percent rose 7.7 percentage points, from
11.3 percent to 19 percent, while their income tax burden rose even more,
by 11 percentage points, from 26 percent to 37 percent.
The final measure compares the inequality of income to the inequality of taxes
paid over time among all income groups. This measure is the "progressivity
index," and is a numerical representation between 0 and 1. The closer
the index value is to 1, the more progressive the tax system. For example:
- From 1990 to 2000, the progressivity index increased from
0.476 to 0.617, during a period where marginal tax rates increased but capital
gains tax rates fell.
- From 2001 to 2004, under George W. Bush's tax reforms, the
tax progressivity index continued to rise from 0.608 to 0.664.
"Its important when discussing tax reforms to consider how the system reacts,
because of the great discretion high earners have in how they earn income and
therefore pay taxes," said Stroup. "Bush's reforms have helped diminish
the income gap between rich and poor, rather than make it worse." |
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The NCPA is an internationally known nonprofit, nonpartisan research institute with offices in Dallas and Washington, D. C. that advocates private solutions to public policy problems. We depend on the contributions of individuals, corporations and foundations that share our mission. The NCPA accepts no government grants.
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