
Crime & Gun Control | |
Experts Confounded By Crime Decline |
After six years of dramatically falling U.S. crime rates, criminologists are coming to the conclusion that there are several factors behind the trend. Papers commissioned by The Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology at Northwestern University School of Law cite many of the usual explanations -- along with some novel ones.
There have been two different crime trends -- a long-term decline in murder by adults, and a sudden increase followed by a drop in crimes by juveniles. Different factors must be at work in each case, according to Alfred Blumstein of Carnegie-Mellon University. For adults, he said, the crucial reasons are a decline in murder by spouses, a reduction in traditional barroom brawls as the neighborhood tavern has disappeared and more people in prison. For young people, the causes appear to be a change in drug markets as older, more established dealers have taken control -- and the impact of new police tactics that focus on taking guns away from young people. Source: Fox Butterfield, "Reason for Dramatic Drop in Crime Puzzles the Experts," New York Times, March 29, 1998. |
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