Trade Issues

Trade and Wage Gaps

Trade may widen the gap between wages paid to the more highly-educated and those with fewer skills and less education, say some economists. However, imports lower consumer prices -- benefiting the very U.S. workers who might be somewhat disadvantaged by competition from foreign labor.

Since 1973, the wage gap between skilled and unskilled American workers has widened.

  • For every dollar that a high-school graduate earned that year, a college graduate made $1.48.

  • By the end of 1995, the college grad was making about $1.63 for every dollar earned by the high-school graduate.

Imports from developing countries are growing rapidly; but imports are only 5 percent of the economy; thus they can not cause large, economy-wide shifts in income.

In a new study, Institute of International Finance economist William Cline argues that technological change is the chief factor in the apparent increase in the income gap between educated and low-skilled workers -- followed by trade and immigration.

  • He calculates that if trade liberalization were halted at current levels, wages of skilled workers would decline by 2 percent to 5 percent by 2013, compared with what they would be otherwise -- while wages of unskilled workers would remain flat.

  • Slapping a 30 percent tariff on imports from developing countries would cause unskilled workers' wages to fall by 1 percent -- while wages for skilled workers would fall by 5 percent.

The key, most economists agree, is not protectionist policy, but education -- which boosts wages for everyone through greater productivity.

Source: Bob Davis, "At the Heart of the Trade Debate: Inequity," Wall Street Journal, October 31, 1997.



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