
Trade |
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Cato Institute: Trade Myths |
When a nation generates a high trade deficit there is no reason to panic, according to a new study by Dan Griswold of the Cato Institute.
Griswold explains that when the trade deficit expanded in the 1980s, unemployment fell. And when it shrank during the 1990-91 recession, the unemployment rate rose. Since 1980, economic growth has averaged 3.1 percent in years during which the trade deficit increased. Meanwhile growth averaged only 2 percent in years in which the trade deficit declined from the previous year. Sources: Daniel T. Griswold, "America's Maligned and Misunderstood Trade Deficit," Trade Policy Analysis No. 2, April 20, 1998, Cato Institute, 1000 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20001, (202) 842-0200, and Perspective, "More Myths About Trade," Investor's Business Daily, August 27, 1998. |