Social Policy

How Abortion Affects Demographics

Tomorrow will mark the 25th anniversary of the Supreme Court's decision in Roe vs. Wade, which legalized abortions in the U.S. Aside from the controversy still surrounding the decision, some observers say abortion has had a significant demographic impact on American society -- although no one knows how many of the terminated pregnancies were replaced by later births.

  • Over the past 25 years, there have been 35 million abortions and the annual abortion rate now is 1.5 million.

  • Without those 35 million abortions, the average age of the American population as of 1995 would have been 33.1 years, rather than an actual 35.9 years.

  • Since 1973, Americans have aborted 75 percent more potential citizens than have immigrated here legally since 1970.

  • The abortion rate per 1,000 women by race is 18 for whites, 54 for blacks and 38 for other groups.

How would these additional children have affected American society? If only one- third of those aborted were available to start work at age 18, the demise of Social Security would be put off for decades and there would already be 2.7 million additional workers. Also, without abortions, there would be 30 percent more young people, suggesting crime rates would be higher.

The 35 million additional children would have required states and localities to come up with an additional $50 billion in educational funds this year. A kindergarten through 12th grade education for those potential children would have cost more than $1 trillion.

By the time the peak of the baby boom generation reaches retirement age, the number of abortions since Roe vs. Wade will equal the number of births during the baby boom.

Source: David Masteo, "Abortion Altered America's Future," USA Today, January 21, 1998.



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