IS MANDATORY RETIREMENT FOR OLDER PILOTS NECESSARY?

New federal regulations will require commuter airplanes, those with 10 to 30 seats, to meet the same safety standards as larger commercial planes. This includes mandatory retirement of pilots at age 60. About 200 of the 8,000 commuter pilots are over 60.

However, a study of the effect of pilot age on airplane accident severity by Gaines Liner of the University of North Carolina at Charlotte concludes that the pilot age rule is unnecessary. The study examined the percentage of occupants who received a severe or fatal injury in an accident during the period 1986 to 1992. It took into account accident weather conditions, time of flight, airplane manufacturer, engine type and size of plane -- as well as the pilot's age, flying experience and number of recent takeoffs and landings. The study found:

Liner's study also looked at pilots of large passenger planes, up to the age of 60, and found accident severity didn't increase with age. He did find that accident severity increased with age in private airplane pilots -- but lower standards of training, experience and medical screening accounted for the difference.

Source: "The Age of Flight," Economic Issues, February 1996.


CONSUMERS BENEFIT FROM AIRLINE DEREGULATION

Super-saver fares and frequent flier miles are just some of the rewards fliers have received from intense competition in the airline industry. Before the industry was deregulated in 1978, bureaucrats at the Civil Aeronautics Board regulated it like a utility - setting prices designed to give airlines a set rate of return on their investment and deciding who could compete with whom.

A detailed analysis of 17 years of data shows that although deregulation has wreaked havoc on some previously-protected carriers, consumers have benefited enormously. Economists found that after adjusting for inflation: Although some national carriers - like Pan Am, Eastern and Braniff - have fallen by the wayside, innovative new carriers like Southwest have sprung up and others have consolidated to improve efficiency. Eliminating restrictions on entry into new markets has increased the number of competitors at the route level - by 70 percent for flights over 2,000 miles. As a result, fares are lower for most travelers.

Some passengers are paying higher fares than before, because under price regulation passengers on longer flights subsidized unprofitable short-haul fares. Also, flights are more crowded because millions of people who used to take the bus can now afford to fly. In 1993, for example, almost half a billion U.S. passengers flew almost half a trillion miles.

Following the lead of the United States, Japan, Canada and Australia have already deregulated their fares, and the countries in the European Union plan to deregulate theirs in 1997. If the international airline industry is deregulated, customers flying on U.S. carriers would save an additional $4.2 billion annually.

Source: Steven A. Morrison and Clifford Winston, The Evolution of the Airline Industry (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 1995).

AIRLINE DEREGULATION IN EUROPE

Nearly three years after the European Union lifted most restrictions on routes airlines could fly in Europe and what they could charge, airfares there are roughly twice as high as those for comparable distances in the U.S.

Shouldn't deregulation spur competition, resulting in lower prices?

The answer is that many carriers remain state-owned,like Air France, and are only now beginning to cut operating costs.

Here are some examples of European fares: However, those standing in the privatized line at European airports are looking at far fairer fares. The European Union is scheduled to remove the remaining barriers to competition on European routes in 1997 and a growing number of small but determined carriers are springing up to grab a piece of the busiest routes.

Most analysts say that only four or so of the dozen biggest carriers will survive in their present form once deregulation is complete, throwing state-owned airlines into the rough-and-tumble of the private sector.

Source: Richard W. Stevenson, "Still Worlds Apart on Air Fares," New York Times, December 20, 1995.

IMPACT OF DEGRGULATION ON SAFETY AND FARES

The Airline Deregulation Act of 1978 has lowered prices while giving consumers more and safer flying options, according to a new study from the General Accounting Office.

The report, based on data from 112 airports over the past 25 years, found that the long-term decline in the rate of accidents has continued since deregulation. As for fares: The largest savings were in the West and Southwest, reflecting greater competition in those regions. However, some airports, especially smaller ones in the Southeast and Appalachia, experienced increases in fares.
Overall service has improved as well, although some small and mid-size airports in the upper Midwest have seen a decline in the number of scheduled departures. Despite some cutbacks in nonstop flights to small and medium-size airports, service with stops along the way increased.

Source: Nick Gillespie, "User-friendly Skies," Reason, July 1996, Reason Foundation, 3415 Sepulveda Blvd., Suite 400, Los Angeles, CA 90034, (310) 391-2245.

UNION WORK RULES AND CONTRACTS LIMIT BENEFITS OF DEREGULATION

Most experts agree that deregulating the airline industry has benefited consumers; however some major carriers still face problems left from the era of regulation.

Economists report that competition since the Airline Deregulation Act was passed in 1978 has brought air travel within the reach of people of modest means.

Deregulation has also brought growth and turmoil to the airline industry. About 100,000 jobs were lost, but a net of 230,000 new jobs were created. Some experts believe the major carriers have been hampered in competing because of work rules and union contracts established under regulation.

Source: "Where Is the Airline Industry Headed: Competition, Consolidation, or Cartelization?" Conference Summary, February 1996, American Enterprise Institute, 1150 Seventeenth Street, NW, Washington, DC 20036, (202) 862-5800.


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