Opinion Editorial

Monday, March 16, 1998  

Research and Development Tax Credit Pays for Itself

Economists have known for a long time that research and development (R&D) is critically important to long-term economic growth. They also know that the benefits to society of R&D far exceed the profits that private companies can earn on their R&D investments. That is because there are spillover effects from new inventions, such as the transistor, that multiply their benefits to society many times over. Therefore, it is in the interest of society to encourage R&D even if it must be subsidized.

In 1981, Congress enacted a tax provision designed to stimulate private R&D. Companies were allowed a tax credit of 25 percent on incremental R&D (currently 20 percent). That is, their taxes were reduced by 25 percent of the additional, not the total, amount of qualified R&D they did each year. By applying the credit only to the annual increase in R&D, Congress hoped to ensure that companies were not rewarded for what they would have done anyway, but only for doing more.

Studies of the R&D credit generally have found that it has increased R&D exactly as it was supposed to. A 1995 report from Congress's Office of Technology Assessment found that the credit stimulated $1 of new R&D for every $1 of revenue loss. A 1993 study by economist Bronwyn Hall of the National Bureau of Economic Research found $2 of additional R&D for every $1 of revenue loss. When one considers that the social rate of return on R&D may be several times the private rate of return, one has to judge the R&D tax credit as one of the most effective government programs ever enacted.

Unfortunately, Congress has been unwilling to make a long-term commitment to the R&D credit. It has never been enacted permanently and has expired on several occasions. It is scheduled to expire again on June 30 of this year. Economist Ken Brown of the National Science Foundation believes that this on-again/off-again approach to the R&D credit has robbed it of much of its effectiveness. Firms often plan R&D projects years in advance. If they are not sure the credit will be available they may scale-back their plans.

A new study from Coopers & Lybrand may help Congress overcome its reluctance and make the R&D credit permanent. It finds that over a 12-year period the dynamic revenue loss is just 35 percent of its static loss (see figure). That is, the additional productivity and economic growth stimulated by the credit raise federal revenue by almost enough to pay for itself.

Source: Bruce Bartlett (senior fellow, National Center for Policy Analysis), March 16, 1998.



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