Opinion Editorial

Monday, June 15, 1998  

Americans are Wealthier -- and Saving More or Less

It is very common to read that Americans do not save enough. Commentators frequently point to the fact that the personal saving rate in the U.S. is very low compared to most other countries and has been declining. According to the Commerce Department, the saving rate fell to just 3.9 percent last year, its lowest level since 1950. As recently as 1984 the saving rate was more than twice 1997's figure. By contrast, Japan, Germany, France, Italy and the United Kingdom all had saving rates well into double-digits last year. Among major countries, only Canadians saved less than Americans did.

These official statistics, however, need to be taken with a great deal of salt because they define saving very narrowly. They do not, for example, include the rise in the value of investments people may have in their individual retirement accounts or 401(k) plans, or the rise in value of any mutual funds or corporate stock they may own. Nor do the official statistics count the implicit wealth people accumulate in defined benefit pension plans as saving. Yet, quite rightly, people view these assets as saving, even if they don't set aside anything from their current income for "saving."

To the Commerce Department, which compiles saving statistics, personal saving means just one thing: the difference between income and consumption. This is assumed to be saving. Thus saving is not measured directly, but is in effect a residual left over after income and consumption are measured.

By contrast, the Federal Reserve measures saving directly by looking at flows of funds into savings accounts, mutual funds, insurance policies, stocks and bonds. By this measure, the saving rate is almost double the more commonly cited Commerce Department figure. According to the Federal Reserve, in 1997 Americans saved 7.1 percent of their disposable income.

In addition, the Federal Reserve also measures the increase in net worth of households resulting from rises in the value of investments. In recent years increases in net worth have been many times larger than the rise in saving as conventionally measured (see figure).

  • In 1997, the net worth of households and nonprofit organizations rose by an astounding $3.6 trillion, while "saving" was just $227 billion.

  • Most of this rise in net worth resulted from a $1.5 trillion increase in the value of corporate equities.

  • Thus the rising stock market lifted the total net worth of households and nonprofit organizations to almost $40 trillion.

Saving is important, both for the economy and for families. But there is no need to exaggerate the need for saving by ignoring much of the saving people actually have.

Source: Bruce Bartlett, senior fellow, National Center for Policy Analysis, June 15, 1998.

For more on Economic Issues go to http://www.ncpa.org/pd/economy/ecoinc.html



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