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It is a fact of life that perception is often more important than reality. This is
especially so in politics, where people can be dogged by impressions even when
they are completely untrue. A classic example is the notion that former Vice
President Dan Quayle is stupid, a view still widely held that I know to be false,
having worked with him dating back to his days in the Senate. Nevertheless, once
this idea took root, it became impossible to dislodge. Everything Quayle did was
interpreted through this prism, magnifying any mistake he made, no matter how
small.
I believe that President Bush is in danger of creating a perception about himself
that may prove equally hard to eradicate if it is allowed to continue. That is the
view that he is "Nixonian," having an approach toward politics and policy
paralleling that of Richard Nixon. It is characterized by a willingness to
subordinate everything to one's reelection--to say and do anything to advance this
goal, with no concern whatsoever for the long-term consequences.
I first discussed this equivalence back in August, after hearing Rush Limbaugh
mention it and reading a July 7 column by William Safire in the New York Times.
Since then, a number of commentators have noticed a similarity between the two
presidents.
On Oct. 20, Newsweek columnist Bob Samuelson pointed out that the two
showed an equal obsessiveness with getting the economy up at all cost. In
particular, he sees both as willing to run far larger budget deficits than justified by
economic conditions.
Jacqueline Doherty of Barron's pointed to "eerie parallels" between Nixon and
Bush on Nov. 17, which "suggest to some sage observers that the Bush
administration's efforts to stimulate the economy will lead to similar sorry ends."
The last point refers not to resignation, but to stagflation, that awful combination
of slow growth and high inflation that characterized the economy of the 1970s.
Newsday columnist Jim Pinkerton noted that there were similarities between
Vietnam and Iraq on Nov. 18. He pointed out that Bush and Nixon both promised
an early end to American involvement by turning over peacekeeping duties to
local authorities. At the same time, they continued to promise "victory" in their
respective conflicts. This allowed them simultaneously to appeal to hawks and
doves.
On Nov. 25, Washington Post reporter Dana Milbank wrote about ways in which
Bush's style is reminiscent of Nixon's. Their administrations are organized
similarly, both stayed aloof from Washington's political and social establishment,
and avoided the Washington press corps in favor of local media whenever
possible. Both presidents also obsessed over "leaks," held information very
closely among just a few trusted aides, and treated any hint of internal conflict as
evidence of disloyalty.
That same day, Limbaugh talked again about how Bush revives memories of
Nixon. "This administration reminds me of Nixon," he told his radio audience.
"He's following Richard Nixon's footsteps on domestic policy" by pumping up
federal spending for any group whose votes can be bought. Limbaugh warned
that Bush was endangering his support among conservatives who want limited,
constitutional government, not new Medicare entitlements and other expansions
of the state into our lives and pocketbooks.
Veteran Associated Press reporter Tom Raum wrote that Bush is "retracing the
steps of Richard Nixon three decades ago" on Nov. 29. On Dec. 2, Wall Street
Journal columnist Alan Murray said, "Presidents Nixon and Bush may turn out to
be bookends to the conservative era, with their big-government drift." The former
took office at the end of a liberal era when voters were not yet ready for
conservative policies, while the latter took office at the end of a conservative era
when they have grown tired of efforts to limit government expansion, Murray
wrote.
Lastly, Newsweek reported in its Dec. 8 issue that it was now "conventional
wisdom" that Bush is following the Nixon model: "Medicare bill passes, economy
surges. Thanksgiving stunt a PR coup. Like Nixon in '72?"
This is very dangerous for President Bush. Nixon is one of the few presidents in
history reviled almost equally by left and right. The former will never forgive
him for Watergate and bringing down Alger Hiss. The latter remains disgusted by
Nixon's wage and price controls, his creation of the Environmental Protection
Agency and other regulatory agencies, and his overtures to the Soviet Union and
Red China.
With so many on the right comparing Bush to Nixon, it is only a matter of time
before those on the left pick up on it and start making the comparison themselves.
With the left's control of the media, it could soon be echoed far and wide. This
will not be good for Bush's reelection or ability to govern. He can nip it by
expending some political capital on an issue of principle.
Bruce Bartlett is a Senior Fellow with the National Center for Policy Analysis.
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