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NATIONAL CENTER FOR POLICY ANALYSIS HOME / DONATE / ONE LEVEL UP / ABOUT NCPA / CONTACT Technology and Economic Growth in the Information Age |
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| March 12, 1998 | |
Intangible Benefits of Economic Progress"It is difficult to measure the value of increased leisure and better working conditions." |
A more fundamental problem is that our economy is not simply mismeasured,
it is misunderstood. The economy has never tried to produce GDP: it tries to produce happiness,
or satisfaction. And there's a lot more to life than GDP. In the information age, our economy is providing benefits beyond those
easily captured by GDP. When making a list of needs and wants, most people
start with food, clothing and shelter. After that, they move on to safety
and security and leisure time, then perhaps to some of the "fun"
aspects of life, such as entertainment, travel and cultural enrichment.
Beyond that, most of us seek personal fulfillment, such as the satisfaction
that comes from a worthwhile or enjoyable job. This hierarchy of needs and
wants reflects the influential work of the American psychologist Abraham
Maslow (1908-70). Maslow's pyramid, a staple of psychology, consists of
a hierarchy of needs that motivate human behavior. At the most basic level
are the physiological needs. With those met, we move up to safety, social
needs, self-esteem and, at the pinnacle of the pyramid, self-actualization.
Increased Leisure. As Americans grow wealthier, our physiological
needs are being increasingly met, and there's a shift in wants from basic
products to ever more intangible outputs. There are plenty of examples -
from personal physical fitness gurus and Internet chat rooms to ecotourism
and early retirement. For example, Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter
said, "The reduction of working hours is one of the most significant
'products' of economic evolution." Hours at work have fallen for decades.
The average workweek fell from 36.9 hours in 1973 to 34.5 hours in 1990.
An equal percentage decline over the next 25 years would yield a 31.4-hour
workweek in 2020. Many workers have flexible schedules, including regular
breaks. Yet GDP gives the economy no credit for gains in leisure. Better Working Conditions. Another of the biggest yet most overlooked
examples of gains in living standards missed by GDP figures is improvement
in our working conditions. For most of us, work is a major part of life.
And better working conditions have routinely been a product of progress,
right along with more GDP. This is evident not just from the steady decline
in worker death rates but also from a comparison of our work concerns today
versus yesterday. In the early 1900s, our work worries centered on safety,
fatigue, long hours, excessive heat, poor ventilation, high humidity, bad
lighting, exposure, disease, lack of adequate toilet facilities and rigid
schedules. Today, we seek interesting and fun jobs with meaningful work,
nice offices, employee activities, flexible hours, empowerment, wellness
classes, communication, employee counseling and the ability to telecommute.
Americans have progressed from narrow productivity concerns to "have
a nice day." Work-Time Leisure. Although measures of productivity - output
per hour at work - credit time off, they generally miss leisure time taken
at work. Time-diary surveys show that Americans today take up to six hours
per week of leisure on the job, as compared with only one hour in 1965. 17
What are some of the ways employees use their recorded work hours other
than to work? Arrive late after dropping off the kids. Leave early to pick up the kids.
Go to parent-teacher conferences. Visit the doctor or dentist. Talk on the
phone to friends. Chat with coworkers. Go outside to smoke. Give blood.
Play solitaire on the computer. Browse the Internet for personal stuff.
Attend wellness classes. Sell cookies for the kids. Raise funds for charities.
Visit with friends via the Internet. Call automated tellers. Exercise (even
in employers' facilities). Call talk radio programs or contests. Read the
paper, a book or a magazine. Attend parties or showers. Write personal correspondence.
Leave to run errands. Make a grocery list. Perform club duties. Take long
breaks. Pay bills. Nap. A little bit here, a little bit there, we're spending our day more the
way we'd like. The point is not that American workers are cheating their companies.
On the contrary, it's all a part of progress. We're not automatons, enslaved
to productivity as if we were still in the fields or on an assembly line.
One way we take the gains of technological progress is to simply enjoy life
in an economy that, more and more, transcends measurement. And what about work that's fun? Most folks these days seek work they
enjoy. Yet the standard statistics are apt to register economic regression
if we quit a job we're good at but don't like in order to take one that's
more enjoyable. It just doesn't make good sense. We take our progress in
ways other than GDP. The economy today reflects our wealthier society's preferences for harder-to-measure
consumption. As we grow richer still in the future, we can expect society
to spend more of its time, energy and income addressing needs that are farther
and farther from the physiological. Pity the poor statistician with the
job of tracking our increasingly elusive economy. |
Conclusion: A Future of Faster Growth"The very notion of economic progress is an articact of the modern, technology-rich era." "Free enterprise is America's greatest welfare program" |
The very notion of economic progress is an artifact of the modern, technology-rich
era. Until the advent of capitalism in the 18th century, the world's living
standards changed only slowly. The French farmer of the 17th century lived,
worked and died pretty much like the Roman farmer of the 1st century B.C. 18
The same cannot be said for our world: living standards rise from generation
to generation. We are in the throes of one of history's great bursts of
technology, put to use quickly and effectively by a vibrant market economy.
It would, of course, be good to have statistics that capture all the
nuances of the economy as it evolves to meet our needs. That's probably
too much to expect. Expense and complexity make a daunting task of tracking
an American economy centered less and less on tangible output. Our measurement
technology cannot keep pace with the rest of our technological progress.
Relying on our existing measures, we're going to miss a lot of what happens
in the economy as it moves into the 21st century. We are fast departing a time when progress can be measured by GDP or
any other simple tally of what the economy produces. If we become fixated
on the numbers and fail to imagine the possibilities, we may miss one of
the greatest periods of economic advancement in history. Worse yet, if we
judge 21st century progress by 20th century measures, we may infer that
our system is failing and in need of repair by government. That is the bad news. Free enterprise is America's greatest welfare program. For more than
two centuries, the system has worked to make our lives better. Whatever
we've wanted - new and improved products, more leisure, better jobs, easier
lives - it has provided in abundance. The pessimists fret that our best days are behind us. They are wrong.
We stand poised on the brink of a new era, one endowed with technology and
teeming with opportunities. The future offers even faster economic progress.
That is the good news. W. Michael Cox Richard Alm The views in this paper are not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve
Bank of Dallas or the Federal Reserve System. NOTE: Nothing written here should be construed as necessarily reflecting
the views of the National Center for Policy Analysis or as an attempt to
aid or hinder the passage of any bill before Congress. |