BRIEF ANALYSIS
NO. 210
For immediate release:
Friday, August 23, 1996
Critics of welfare reform assume that welfare recipients are unable
to earn a decent wage on their own and that single mothers have no place
to leave their children while working. Thus, opponents assert, in order
to compete in the labor market welfare mothers need education and child
care services - items that can cost almost as much as a minimum-wage worker
earns. For example, by one estimate, Wisconsin's recently passed welfare-to-work
legislation will increase that state's welfare bill by 13 percent.
Proponents of work-fare often accept the same premise. As a result,
a great deal of money goes not to support work but to pay tuition and training
costs. Unfortunately, the recipients often make the minimum effort necessary
to stay in the program and continue collecting benefits. Thus little progress
is made.
Fortunately, work-fare programs in some states already have been successful
in getting recipients back to work while decreasing total welfare costs.
Let's take a closer look.
A Program That Works. Welfare reforms being implemented in Oregon,
Mississippi and six other states are based on the premise that most training
should take place on the job. In general, program costs do not increase
because savings from the declining number of welfare recipients reduce overall
costs. The vision underlying these programs is that able-bodied welfare
recipients should get a paycheck, not a welfare check. This "Full Employment
Program" consists of:
- Subsidized jobs at the minimum wage or higher. Federal and
state money currently used to fund food stamps and Aid to Families with
Dependent Children (AFDC) is used instead to subsidize jobs. Employers must
pay participating workers at least the minimum wage and as much as they
pay like-trained employees. The program guarantees that participants will
have more spendable income (when including the Earned Income Tax Credit)
than they get from a welfare check. In Oregon, for example, the average
is more than $5.50 an hour.
- Incentives for employers. The program subsidizes employers.
In Oregon, for example, the subsidy is equal to the minimum wage plus FICA
taxes, unemployment insurance and workers' compensation insurance premiums.
- Opportunities for advancement. After four months (in Oregon)
if the employer has not offered the participant an unsub-sidized
job, the participant is paid for eight hours of job search time every week
for the next two months. If the participant does not find an unsubsidized
job in the allotted time, he or she may switch to another subsidized job
with another employer at the end of the period.
- Temporary continuation of noncash benefits. AFDC recipients
retain their Medicaid eligibility and receive child care if they need it.
They do not receive cash payments through programs such as AFDC, and food
stamps are converted into cash.
- Educational opportunities. Participants in a subsidized job
may receive guidance and counseling, including life skills classes. They
may also enroll in classes to earn a General Education Diploma (GED). However,
they learn job skills primarily on the job, not in a classroom.
Welfare-to-Work Success: Oregon. Oregon was the first state to adopt
a Full Employment Program ("JOBS Plus") which called for a three-year,
six-county pilot project. At the same time, the state implemented a jobs-oriented
philosophy in other counties. Many welfare recipients quickly found unsubsidized
jobs when faced with the reality of having to take some type of job. Others
simply left the system, presumably because they had better alternatives
elsewhere.
- Initially, 55 to 60 percent of welfare recipients were considered
eligible to enter workfare, and that number is expected to increase to 70
percent under new legislation that passed on July 1, 1996.
- Of the approximately 2,200 people who took jobs in the six pilot counties,
about 80 percent did not need the government subsidy, saving the system
millions of dollars in welfare spending. [See Figure I.]
- Of those who did take subsidized jobs, four out of five moved on to
unsub-sidized jobs during the first 14 months.
A more detailed breakdown of one of the pilot counties demonstrates one
reason why welfare-to-work saves money: faced with the necessity of having
to take a job, about a third of the people simply leave the system. In Beaverton,
Oregon, 549 people applied for welfare between February and July of 1996.
Of that number:
- About 35 percent signed up for JOBS Plus but found an unsubsidized
job within the first 30 days.
- About 33 percent either left the program voluntarily or refused to
cooperate and are in the process of losing their welfare benefits.
- Only eight out of 549 people actually acquired a subsidized job.
Because of the work incentives, welfare recipients are leaving the system
and fewer are signing up for benefits. As a result, the state is saving
money.
- Within three months of implementing the program in 1994, the number
of families on welfare began falling. They are down about 30 percent since
the beginning of 1994, from 44,000 to 31,000, and officials think the number
could drop to about 20,000 within four years.
- Total welfare spending for the state has declined about 10 percent.
Welfare-to-Work Success: Mississippi. Mississippi was the second
state to enact a Full Employment Program ("Work First") through
a pilot project in six counties with 27 percent of the state's welfare caseload.
Private staffing companies recover most of the costs of employer recruiting,
worker preparation and job placement through fees they charge to their client
employers. Work First results to date are remarkable, even in the early
stages of implementation.
- Through the end of March 1996, some 3,500 welfare cases had been assigned
to Work First, and 633 individuals had been placed in jobs - 352
unsub-sidized and 281 subsidized.
- The combined AFDC/food stamp caseload in the six test counties
is declining by 1.41 percent per month - seven times the rate of the rest
of the state.
- Total AFDC payments are also declining - 11.4 percent between September
1995 and April 1996 in the test counties compared to only 4.4 percent in
the rest of the state.
- The number of food stamp-receiving households has declined by 836
in the test counties while rising by 616 in the rest of the state. [See
Figure II.]
Conclusion. Welfare-to-work programs can reduce the number of people
who rely on welfare and save the federal and state governments money. Those
recipients who can find other work usually do, thus decreasing the welfare
rolls. Those who can't find a job get a subsidized job.
This Brief Analysis was prepared by NCPA President John C. Goodman and
Vice President Merrill Matthews Jr.
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